Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Recreativo Huelva		Gerena

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.42	3.55	6
	1.4	3.75	6.6
	1.42	3.84	6.85
	1.46	3.92	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	6.25 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
61.9%

Draw
23.8%

Gerena
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.5%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

14.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gerena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Recreativo Huelva - Gerena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recreativo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gerena is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gerena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gerena have a series of home games.

In this match Recreativo is a favorite.

Gerena is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.10.21	Conil - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
10.10.21	Antoniano - Recreativo Huelva	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Recreativo Huelva - Rota	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWWTW
- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.10.21	Gerena - Córdoba B	2:1 ✺
09.10.21	Gerena - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
03.10.21	Pozoblanco - Gerena	3:3 ✺
25.09.21	Gerena - Los Barrios	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Gerena - Sevilla C	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW

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