Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Gerena		Cartaya

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.61	3.41	5.22
	1.59	3.54	5.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.85)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	5.29 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
56.7%

Draw
26.2%

Cartaya
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerena's performance.

Cartaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gerena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartaya than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cartaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gerena is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
21.01.24	Cabecense - Gerena	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Ceuta B - Gerena	4:0 ✺
23.12.23	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:0 ✺
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- AD Cartaya
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.01.24	Cartaya - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Cartaya - Ayamonte	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Coria CF - Cartaya	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Cartaya - La Palma	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Xerez Deportivo - Cartaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.09.23	Cartaya - Gerena	0:0
01.04.23	Gerena - Cartaya	3:2
08.12.22	Cartaya - Gerena	0:0
29.01.22	Cartaya - Gerena	1:1
09.10.21	Gerena - Cartaya	2:0

Gerena - Cartaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide