Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Gerena		Sevilla C

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.06	3.04	3.32
	2.07	3.04	3.32
	2.11	3.17	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 (2.06)	3.09 ↓ (3.36)	3.32 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
43.7%

Draw
29.2%

Sevilla C
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.2%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sevilla C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Sevilla C aligns with the current prediction.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Gerena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Gerena won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.04.24	Gerena - Ciudad de Lucena	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ayamonte - Gerena	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	Gerena - Coria CF	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	La Palma - Gerena	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Gerena - Xerez Deportivo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWL
- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
14.04.24	Sevilla C - Utrera	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Sevilla C - Conil	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Ayamonte - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sevilla C - Cartaya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
02.12.23	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:2
05.03.23	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1
06.11.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	1:3
12.01.22	Sevilla C - Gerena	0:2
11.09.21	Gerena - Sevilla C	4:1
28.03.21	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:0
20.12.20	Gerena - Sevilla C	1:1

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