Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 8

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Recreativo Huelva		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.44	3.2	2.8
	2.45	3.16	2.83
	2.43	3.17	2.77	Watch
	2.41	3.2	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.71)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)	2.77 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
37.9%

Draw
29%

Real Murcia
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.3%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

29.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recreativo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 22. Navas R. 3. Lopez A. 12. Nico Njalla 8. Luis Alcalde 24. Moreno Meca C. 14. Del Pozo D. 11. Bekkouche C. 15. Armero S.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 6. Gonzalez A. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 21. Cadete 15. Yriarte J. 24. Moha Moukhliss 18. Vicente D. 22. Juan Carlos 27. Toral A. 11. Carrillo J.
Substitutes
20. Becken C. 16. Caballero P. 21. Camara M. 13. Centurion G. (G) 17. Cerrudo J. 10. Dominguez A. 5. Galvez A. 6. Keita B. 9. Quintana C. 7. Romero P. 23. Soto D.	9. Benito P. A. P. 7. Buron L. 20. Knight B. 8. Larrea P. 23. Lopez A. 29. Matheus Cadorini 30. Palmberg 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 4. Saveljich E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Jaso Zunzarren A. 🟨,
29', Cadete 🟨,
32', Yriarte J. 🟨,
33', Armero S. 🟨,
41', Moreno Meca C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jaso Zunzarren A. ↓, Saveljich E. ↑,
50', Navas R. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Saveljich E. ⚽,
63', Bekkouche C. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
63', Moreno Meca C. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
65', Carrillo J. ↓, Buron L. ↑,
65', Toral A. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
66', Toral A. 🟨,
69', Lopez A. ↓, Becken C. ↑,
72', Buron L. 🟨,
76', Del Pozo D. 🟨,
77', Becken C. ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,
77', Luis Alcalde ↓, Caballero P. ↑,
77', Yriarte J. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
79', Saveljich E. 🟨,
80', Cerrudo J. 🟨,
86', Gazzaniga G. 🟨,
86', Juan Carlos ↓, Palmberg ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 1.

Recreativo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murcia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recreativo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Murcia have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.24	Recreativo Huelva - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Villarreal B - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Recreativo Huelva - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Betis B - Recreativo Huelva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLTL
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.10.24	Real Murcia - Alcorcón	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Real Murcia - Betis B	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Murcia - Sabadell	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.24	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.03.24	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	1:0
03.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.11.19	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:0
03.02.19	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	2:0
16.09.18	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	2:2
14.01.18	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	0:0
27.08.17	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	1:1

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