Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ceuta		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.77	3.52	4.79
	1.71	3.42	4.75
	1.72	3.5	4.66
	1.75	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	4.54 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
53.1%

Draw
26.7%

Recreativo Huelva
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.5%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceuta's performance.

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 25. Cantero Y. 6. Hernandez C. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 20. Escudero A. 8. Ramos D. 5. Bellotti M. 19. Jamelli 22. Aguero 18. El Ftouhi S.	1. Galvez R. (G) 18. Perejon D. 4. Serrano R. 5. Galvez A. 3. Lopez A. 12. Nico Njalla 24. Moreno Meca C. 8. Luis Alcalde 14. Del Pozo D. 23. Soto D. 9. Quintana C.
Substitutes
11. Aquino D. 14. Blesa Alex 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 21. Lopez J. 27. Lozano D. 26. Peri 9. Rodri 10. Rodriguez C. 17. Taufek B. M. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	15. Armero S. 16. Caballero P. 21. Camara M. 13. Centurion G. (G) 25. Cerrudo J. 26. Davinchi 6. Keita B. 22. Navas R. 7. Romero P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Soto D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Aguero ⚽,
63', Aguero 🟨,
64', Soto D. ↓, Davinchi ↑,
64', Moreno Meca C. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
65', Luis Alcalde ↓, Keita B. ↑,
66', Ramos D. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
66', Aguero ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
71', Galvez A. 🟨,
78', Bellotti M. ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
78', Escudero A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
79', Galvez A. 🟨,
84', Nico Njalla ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,
84', Quintana C. ↓, Caballero P. ↑,
90+3', Jamelli ↓, Lolo Gonzalez ↑,
90+6', Davinchi 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recreativo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recreativo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Betis B - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Marbella - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Hércules - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWL
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.09.24	Villarreal B - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Recreativo Huelva - Sevilla B	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Betis B - Recreativo Huelva	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.02.24	Recreativo Huelva - Ceuta	2:1
03.09.23	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	0:0

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