Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 28

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Colombino (Huelva)


	Recreativo Huelva		Utrera

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8
	1.25	4.75	10
	1.27	5.25	10.93
	1.29	4.7	10.25
	1.32	4.4	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)	4.72 ↑ (3.7)	9.56 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recreativo Huelva
71%

Draw
19.4%

Utrera
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

24.6%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

15.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Recreativo Huelva's performance.

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Recreativo Huelva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Recreativo Huelva - Utrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Recreativo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Utrera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Recreativo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Recreativo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Recreativo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.03.23	Recreativo Huelva - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Cartagena B - Recreativo Huelva	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Recreativo Huelva - Granada B	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	El Ejido - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Recreativo Huelva - Antequera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWTL
- CD Utrera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.03.23	Utrera - San Roque de Lepe	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Utrera	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Utrera - Yeclano Deportivo	0:3 ✺
05.03.23	Cartagena B - Utrera	3:2 ✺
26.02.23	Utrera - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.11.22	Utrera - Recreativo Huelva	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.01.22	Recreativo Huelva - Utrera	1:2
12.09.21	Utrera - Recreativo Huelva	1:2

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