The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Bragantino U20 52%
Draw 24.6%
Botafogo RJ U20 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
26.9%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
25.3%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Red Bull Bragantino U20's performance.
Botafogo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino U20 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Miguel Caldas ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Palacios W. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Gabriel Abdias ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
57', 1 - 3, Bernardo Valim ⚽,
65', 2 - 3, Luis Gustavo ⚽,
66', 2 - 4, ⚽,
69', Luis Gustavo 🟥,
88', 2 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
RB Bragantino U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Botafogo U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Botafogo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
RB Bragantino U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).