Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Salzburg)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Servus TV
Belgium	VTM 2


	Red Bull Salzburg		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.45
	2.78	3.55	2.48
	2.78	3.58	2.5
	2.71	3.69	2.42	Watch
	2.62	3.3	2.5
	2.78	3.58	2.55	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.37)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	2.51 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
35.4%

Draw
27%

Club Brugge
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

28.6%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	25%	28.8%

Red Bull Salzburg - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 24 - 48%). Brugge will win (votes: 14 - 28%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 34.2% – 61.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 11 - 44%). Brugge (votes: 8 - 32%). Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Salzburg (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Salzburg (1.96) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Salzburg (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 17 - 54.8%). Brugge (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schlager A. (G) 22. Lainer S. 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 13. Kratzig F. 8. Kitano S. 18. Bidstrup M. (C) 5. Diabate S. 14. Kjaergaard M. 11. Vertessen Y. 45. Nene D.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 58. Spileers J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 6. Reis L. 10. Vetlesen H. 8. Tzolis C. 15. Onyedika R. 14. Meijer B. 17. Vermant R. 20. Vanaken H. (C)
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 27. Alajbegovic K. 20. Baidoo E. 28. Daghim A. 15. Diambou M. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 21. Ratkov P. 41. Sarcevic N. (G) 44. Schuster J. 3. Terzic A. 37. Trummer T.	62. Audoor L. 84. Campbell S. 9. Forbs C. 87. Furo K. 29. Jackers N. (G) 24. Osuji V. 2. Romero Z. 11. Sandra C. 41. Siquet H. 25. Stankovic A. 7. Tresoldi N. 16. van den Heuvel D. (G)
Coaches
Letsch T.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Onyedika R. 🟨,
63', Nene D. 🟨,
65', Kjaergaard M. ↓, Alajbegovic K. ↑,
65', Vertessen Y. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Vermant R. ⚽, Meijer B. (A),
76', Reis L. ↓, Stankovic A. ↑,
76', Seys J. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
76', Kitano S. ↓, Ratkov P. ↑,
88', Meijer B. ↓, Romero Z. ↑,
88', Vetlesen H. ↓, Forbs C. ↑,
90+1', Vermant R. ↓, Tresoldi N. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent performances by Salzburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brugge is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
02.08.25	Ried - Red Bull Salzburg	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Brann	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.07.25	Union Dietach - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.25	Brann - Red Bull Salzburg	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Derby County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWWL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.08.25	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Club Brugge - Genk	2:1 ✺
Belgian Super Cup
20.07.25	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Club Brugge - Lokomotiva Zagreb	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Club Brugge - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.02.19	Red Bull Salzburg - Club Brugge	4:0
14.02.19	Club Brugge - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1

Upcoming Matches