Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 39

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	DAZN
Austria	20:30	DAZN
Belgium	20:30	Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	14:30	DAZN
Brazil	15:30	DAZN Brasil
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Denmark	20:30	DAZN
Ecuador	13:30	DAZN
Finland	21:30	DAZN
France	20:30	DAZN France
Germany	20:30	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	03:30	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	06:30	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	14:30	DAZN
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	DAZN
Switzerland	20:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:30	DAZN
Uruguay	15:30	DAZN
Usa	14:30	DAZN USA
Venezuela	14:30	DAZN


	KV Mechelen		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	8	5	1.33	Watch
	8.1	5.35	1.33	Watch
	8.31	5.81	1.36
	7.79	5.69	1.34	Watch
	7.5	5	1.33
	7.85	5.53	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.93 ↑ (5.56)	5.4 ↑ (4.64)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
11.9%

Draw
17.5%

Club Brugge
70.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.2%

20.6%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.2%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KV Mechelen's form might have worsened.

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	0%	91.3%

KV Mechelen - Club Brugge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Brugge (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Club Brugge will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Wolf O. (G) 39. Decoene M. 2. Halhal R. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 29. Salifou D. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 19. Mrabti K. 28. Boersma B. 9. van Brederode M.	16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 41. Siquet H. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 25. Stankovic A. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 9. Forbs C. 10. Vetlesen H. 8. Tzolis C. 7. Tresoldi N.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 4. Diouf G. 8. Konate M. 34. Lenaerts M. 14. Raman B. 18. Struyf I. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 27. Vanrafelghem K.	67. Diakhon M. 29. Jackers N. (G) 14. Meijer B. 19. Nilsson G. 15. Onyedika R. 64. Sabbe K. 11. Sandra C. 58. Spileers J. 17. Vermant R.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Leko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽, Tresoldi N. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, van Brederode M. ⚽, Boersma B. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
52', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
68', Salifou D. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
68', Siquet H. 🟨,
70', Mrabti K. 🟨,
79', Vetlesen H. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
79', Tresoldi N. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
79', Mrabti K. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
79', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
82', Siquet H. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
86', Marsa J. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, van den Heuvel D. (Own goal),
90+3', Spileers J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 1.

Mechelen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brugge is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Brugge is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Kireev M. (Inactive) Ozdemir H. (Inactive) Zekri M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Sabbe K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Miras N. (Injury) Salifou D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Jackers N. (Injury) Siquet H. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:50. (average 0.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.6:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Club Brugge KV	9	8	0	1	22:6	16	24
15	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	9:17	-8	6

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

KV Mechelen: 0.52%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Club Brugge - Saint-Gilloise	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Gent - Club Brugge	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.04.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	6:1
22.03.26	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	4:1
01.08.25	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	2:1
07.12.24	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	1:2
26.07.24	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:1
10.12.23	KV Mechelen - Club Brugge	0:0
30.07.23	Club Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:1

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