Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Redditch United		Nuneaton Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.5	3.6
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.86	4	3.46
	1.86	4	3.46
	1.81	3.64	3.64
	1.83	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.64)	3.72 ↓ (3.75)	3.56 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redditch United
49.9%

Draw
24.5%

Nuneaton Town
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redditch United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Redditch United's form might have worsened.

Nuneaton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuneaton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redditch United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Redditch United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuneaton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Redditch United - Nuneaton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: ) and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Redditch won 2.

Redditch is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nuneaton Town is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Redditch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Redditch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Redditch won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Redditch won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redditch United
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.23	Berkhamsted - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Redditch United - Leamington	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
25.09.23	Redditch United - Long Eaton United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	St Ives Town - Redditch United	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.23	Redditch United - Peterborough Sports	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL
- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
14.10.23	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Stratford Town - Nuneaton Town	0:3 ✺
23.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Hitchin Town - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Coalville Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Nuneaton Town - Redditch United	1:0
27.08.22	Redditch United - Nuneaton Town	1:2
01.03.22	Nuneaton Town - Redditch United	0:1
23.10.21	Redditch United - Nuneaton Town	1:3
24.10.20	Redditch United - Nuneaton Town	2:0
22.02.20	Redditch United - Nuneaton Town	3:2
12.10.19	Nuneaton Town - Redditch United	3:0

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