Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nuneaton Town		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.65
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.21	3.7	2.6
	2.23	3.55	2.69
	2.15	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuneaton Town
41.5%

Draw
25.2%

Barwell
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.3%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuneaton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuneaton Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Nuneaton Town - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 1.

Recent matches Nuneaton Town is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barwell is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nuneaton Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nuneaton Town will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nuneaton Town won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Nuneaton Town won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuneaton Town
English Southern League Central Division
30.09.23	Stratford Town - Nuneaton Town	0:3 ✺
23.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Hitchin Town - Nuneaton Town	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Coalville Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.09.23	Nuneaton Town - Carlton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWLWL
- Barwell
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Barwell - Mickleover Sports	2:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
30.09.23	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
25.09.23	Barwell - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	0:0 ✺
12.09.23	Alvechurch - Barwell	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
03.12.22	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	3:1
20.08.22	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	3:1
18.04.22	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	0:2
01.01.22	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	2:2
17.10.20	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	2:1
14.12.19	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	0:1
28.09.19	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	3:1

Nuneaton Town - Barwell

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nuneaton Town - Barwell Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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