Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista U20 - Third stage - Round 21

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday


	Referência U20		Desportivo Brasil U20

	1	X	2
	5.01	3.93	1.53
	4.77	4.01	1.59	Watch
	5	3.9	1.53
	4.6	3.84	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (3.58)	3.92 ↑ (3.5)	1.57 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Referência U20
18.8%

Draw
23.2%

Desportivo Brasil U20
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

25.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.5%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Referência U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Referência U20's form might have worsened.

Desportivo Brasil U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Desportivo Brasil U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Referência U20 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Referência U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Brasil U20 than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desportivo Brasil U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Referência U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Referência FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.09.24	São Bento U20 - Referência U20	2:4 ✺
30.08.24	Referência U20 - São Bento U20	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Referência U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Referência U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTLLW
- Desportivo Brasil U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.09.24	São Paulo U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Desportivo Brasil U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2 ✺
23.08.24	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
15.08.24	São Bento U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
09.08.24	Mirassol U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
23.08.24	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Referência U20	3:0

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