Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista U20 - Second stage - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Referência U20		Velo Clube U20

	1	X	2
	2.71	3.26	2.31
	2.72	3.39	2.35	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.4
	2.68	3.32	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.5)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Referência U20
34.2%

Draw
27.1%

Velo Clube U20
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

26.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

25.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Referência U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Velo Clube U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Referência U20 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Referência U20 - Velo Clube U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, da Paz L. L. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Referência U20 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Velo Clube U20 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Referência U20 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Referência FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.07.24	Referência U20 - Marília U20	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	Marília U20 - Referência U20	2:1 ✺
27.06.24	Velo Clube U20 - Referência U20	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Referência U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	1:1 ✺
14.06.24	São Paulo U20 - Referência U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTTL
- Velo Clube U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
27.07.24	Velo Clube U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Velo Clube U20	1:0 ✺
27.06.24	Velo Clube U20 - Referência U20	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Marília U20 - Velo Clube U20	0:0 ✺
07.06.24	Velo Clube U20 - XV de Jaú U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
27.06.24	Velo Clube U20 - Referência U20	1:1

Referência U20 - Velo Clube U20