Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Mastrodomenico L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Reggiana		Spezia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.45
	2.55	3.15	2.55	Watch
	2.58	3.34	2.62
	2.53	3.29	2.58	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.55
	2.6	3.66	2.53	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.51)	3.29 ↑ (3.22)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggiana
36.2%

Draw
27.8%

Spezia
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

28.9%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Reggiana - Spezia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Reggiana (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reggiana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 17. Libutti L. 13. Battistini M. 43. Bonetti S. 3. Tripaldelli A. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Crisetig L. 21. Vallarelli F. 90. Portanova M. (C) 7. Rover M. 25. Sipos L.	1. Micai A. (G) 37. Mateju A. 13. Sapola M. 6. Sganzerla R. 72. Capolupo S. 70. Bright K. 14. Capomaggio G. 97. Cazzadori D. 24. Limonelli C. 11. Cardinali A. 9. Mazzocchi S. (C)
Substitutes
19. Basili D. 12. Borriello F. (G) 32. Cavaliere E. 11. Cavion M. 85. Ezinwa A. 80. Girma N. 98. Lepri T. 55. Pasquoto Lucas 14. Quaranta D. 22. Sorzi M. (G) 47. Tessitori M.	44. Benvenuto M. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Candelari P. 75. Cassano A. 22. Ciocci G. (G) 7. Di Serio G. 35. Doretti G. (G) 77. Durmush M. 90. Fontanarosa R. 65. Giorgeschi S. 10. Jimenez K. 5. Joselito 31. Oyono J. 55. Spedalieri J. 28. Zilli M.
Coaches
Tesser A.	Turati M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Capolupo S. 🟨,
39', Bonetti S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mateju A. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
53', Capomaggio G. 🟨,
58', Crisetig L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
58', Rover M. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
60', Mazzocchi S. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
70', Libutti L. 🟨,
75', 0 - 1, Cazzadori D. ⚽, Cardinali A. (A),
79', Limonelli C. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
79', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Basili D. ↑,
85', Vallarelli F. ↓, Cavaliere E. ↑,
86', Capolupo S. 🟨,
87', Cazzadori D. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
87', Cardinali A. ↓, Spedalieri J. ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.

Reggiana has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spezia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Reggiana has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Reggiana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Spezia	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
4	Reggiana	8	4	2	2	12:7	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Reggiana - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.67%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Spezia - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Reggiana 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Perugia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Reggiana - Latina	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Reggiana - Vado	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWTW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Pescara - Spezia	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Spezia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.02.26	Spezia - Reggiana	0:1
30.09.25	Reggiana - Spezia	1:1
04.05.25	Reggiana - Spezia	2:1
05.10.24	Spezia - Reggiana	1:0
16.03.24	Reggiana - Spezia	0:0
23.09.23	Spezia - Reggiana	1:2
Coppa Italia
05.08.17	Spezia - Reggiana	3:0

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