Match Info

J3 League - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Heiwado HATO Stadium (Hikone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Reilac Shiga		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.30	1.80
	3.85	3.25	1.82
	4.24	3.57	1.82
	4.07	3.61	1.83	Watch
	4.15	3.50	1.76
	4.06	3.64	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.35	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.45)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilac Shiga
23%

Draw
26.5%

Kagoshima United
50.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.9%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilac Shiga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 14. Shiraishi T. 37. Nabeta A. 5. Nishiyama T. 13. Koizumi R. 11. Miyake K. 8. Nakamura K. 24. Romero F. 77. Hojo S. 9. Sakamoto I. 29. Hino T.	31. Sakata D. (G) 35. Egawa G. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 8. Fujimura K. 14. Yoshio K. 2. Saga R. 9. Arita R. 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
2. Hirai S. 10. Hitomi T. 4. Ide K. 1. Ito K. (G) 7. Kubo E. 66. Matsubara K. 48. Tanida S. 23. Tatsuta S. 30. Yamaguchi R.	20. Endo M. 99. Juanma Delgado 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kawashima K. 73. Kim M. 16. Muramatsu K. 22. Takahashi A. 10. Take S. 32. Umeki K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Egawa G. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Egawa G. ⚽, Yoshio K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romero F. ↓, Kubo E. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Kawamura K. ⚽,
56', Tanaka W. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
57', Kubo E. 🟨,
58', Hojo S. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
58', Sakamoto I. ↓, Hitomi T. ↑,
67', Shiraishi T. ↓, Hirai S. ↑,
73', Yoshio K. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
73', Arita R. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
75', Hirai S. 🟨,
77', Fujimura K. 🟨,
86', Kawamura K. 🟨,
86', Hino T. ↓, Tatsuta S. ↑,
89', Fujimura K. ↓, Umeki K. ↑,
89', Kawamura K. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Tatsuta S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Reilac Shiga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kagoshima United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Reilac Shiga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reilac Shiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Reilac Shiga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kagoshima Utd	10	7	2	1	19:11	8	23
10	Reilac Shiga	10	4	2	4	16:16	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Reilac Shiga - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Reilac Shiga	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Reilac Shiga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLLW
- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Kagoshima United - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Kagoshima United - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
29.08.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	3:4 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:4 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Kagoshima United - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0
15.03.26	Kagoshima United - Reilac Shiga	1:0

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