Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Heiwado HATO Stadium (Hikone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Reilac Shiga		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	4	3.9	1.65
	4.80	3.90	1.52
	4.5	3.85	1.62	Watch
	4.55	3.95	1.68
	4.69	3.86	1.68
	4.6	3.7	1.67
	4.77	3.78	1.67	Watch
	4.3	3.75	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↓ (5.79)	3.84 ↓ (4.33)	1.64 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reilac Shiga
20.2%

Draw
23.9%

Tokyo Verdy
55.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

20.9%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

20.3%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reilac Shiga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokyo Verdy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilac Shiga than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tokyo Verdy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Reilac Shiga - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Reilac Shiga will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Reilac Shiga (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reilac Shiga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ito K. (G) 36. Maekawa T. 48. Tanida S. 2. Hirai S. 4. Ide K. 23. Tatsuta S. 7. Kubo E. 32. Umiguchi G. 30. Yamaguchi R. 10. Hitomi T. 29. Hino T.	21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 22. Uchida Y. 29. Sako M. 36. Matsuda R. 42. Imai K. 2. Shibato K. 28. Yamamoto J. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 24. Nakayama S. 27. Shirai R. 38. Kanda S.
Substitutes
18. Akiyama S. 77. Hojo S. 66. Matsubara K. 11. Miyake K. 41. Motoyoshi Y. (G) 8. Nakamura K. 55. Onodera K. 9. Sakamoto I. 16. Suzuki S.	50. Camara C. 71. Hirao H. 30. Kawamura G. 17. Kim Hyun-woo 25. Kumatoriya I. 20. Meshino S. 41. Nakamura K. (G) 51. Ofuji S. 13. Yamada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Shibato K. 🟨,
33', Kanda S. 🟨,
34', Kubo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Hino T. ↓, Hojo S. ↑,
59', Yamaguchi R. ↓, Miyake K. ↑,
59', Kanda S. ↓, Hirao H. ↑,
60', Shibato K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
68', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
69', Kubo E. ↓, Nakamura K. ↑,
69', Tatsuta S. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
74', Meshino S. 🟨,
75', Shirai R. ↓, Kim Hyun-woo ↑,
79', Maekawa T. ↓, Akiyama S. ↑,
90+2', Imai K. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Kim Hyun-woo ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tokyo Verdy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tokyo Verdy is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

Verdy: 0.37%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reilac Shiga FC
Japan J3 League
05.09.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Reilac Shiga	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Reilac Shiga - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Reilac Shiga	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Reilac Shiga	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Reilac Shiga - Japan Soccer College	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLWT

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