Match Info

J3 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.25	1.77
	3.55	3.15	1.9	Watch
	4	3.45	1.9
	3.8	3.44	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.86
	3.74	3.34	1.87	Watch
	3.6	3.25	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.05)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
24.1%

Draw
27.6%

Kagoshima United
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

28.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamatamare Sanuki's form might have worsened.

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kamatamare will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aoki K. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 20. Lee Gi-San 6. Miyazaki S. 5. Kokubun M. 66. Woo S. 21. Utsugi S. 24. Ueno A. 11. Sano R. 10. Goto Y. 77. Murakami Y.	21. Kawakami K. (G) 35. Egawa G. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 19. Inaba S. 8. Fujimura K. 2. Saga R. 9. Arita R. 22. Takahashi A.
Substitutes
16. Arita S. 86. Asada H. 33. Kawakami S. 17. Makiyama K. 60. Morikawa Y. 34. Namimoto R. 35. Sago S. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 99. Yonezawa R.	20. Endo M. 11. Fukuda M. 99. Juanma Delgado 18. Kawamura K. 27. Kawashima K. 73. Kim M. 16. Muramatsu K. 31. Sakata D. (G) 14. Yoshio K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Goto Y. ⚽, Sano R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Egawa G. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
46', Goto Y. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Arita R. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 1 - 2, Tanaka W. ⚽,
59', Kokubun M. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Sano R. ⚽, Sago S. (A),
64', 2 - 3, Tanaka W. ⚽,
66', Inaba S. 🟨,
73', Tanaka W. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
73', Takahashi A. ↓, Kawamura K. ↑,
73', 3 - 3, Sano R. ⚽, Murakami Y. (A),
75', Utsugi S. ↓, Kawakami S. ↑,
78', Inaba S. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
78', Arita R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
86', Sano R. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 4, Saga R. ⚽, Muramatsu K. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.

Kamatamare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kagoshima Utd	10	7	2	1	19:11	8	23
19	Kamatamare	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Veroskronos Tsuno - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:1 AET ✺
Japan J3 League
15.08.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
05.06.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 penalties ✺
31.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Kagoshima United
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:4 ✺
Japan J3 League
22.08.26	Kagoshima United - Gifu	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
19.08.26	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
16.08.26	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	0:0
16.02.25	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
16.09.23	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
02.04.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	2:0
11.09.22	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:2
29.05.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	0:4
28.08.21	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	1:2

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