Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerezo Osaka		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.70	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.75	5.00
	1.71	3.60	4.50	Watch
	1.69	4.10	5.44
	1.8	3.65	4.47	Watch
	1.62	4.05	5.35
	1.63	3.82	5.70	Watch
	1.63	3.95	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.83 ↑ (3.4)	5.11 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
56.8%

Draw
24.7%

Tokyo Verdy
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.9%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerezo Osaka's performance.

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 2. Nakamura T. 36. Irvine J. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 66. Ohata A. 41. Komi Y. 14. Yokoyama Y. 11. Thiago Andrade	1. Matheus (C) 15. Suzuki K. 29. Sako M. 5. Inoue R. 40. Arai Y. 8. Saito K. 16. Hirakawa R. 18. Mizoguchi S. 71. Hirao H. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
31. Abe K. (G) 77. Fernandes L. 8. Kagawa S. 28. Okazawa K. 16. Okuda H. 19. Sabbag P. 9. Sakuragawa S. 97. Takahashi T. 7. Uejo S.	38. Kanda S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 36. Matsuda R. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 2. Shibato K. 22. Uchida Y. 13. Yamada G.
Coaches
Machin P.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Komi Y. 🟨,
61', Nakamura T. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
62', Komi Y. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
64', Hirao H. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
64', Saito K. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
73', Thiago Andrade ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
78', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
85', Ohata A. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
85', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
89', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
89', Meshino S. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tokyo Verdy has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tokyo Verdy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cerezo Osaka is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Inactive) Kambayashi G. (Shoulder Injury) Sakata R. (Hamstring Injury) Shibayama M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Morita K. (Injury) Tanabe S. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Tokyo Verdy - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.43%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gifu	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWL
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
02.09.26	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
21.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
25.04.25	Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
06.07.24	Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
09.03.24	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
Japan J2 League
12.11.16	Tokyo Verdy - Cerezo Osaka	1:2
26.06.16	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	1:0
23.11.15	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	2:0

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