Match Info

J1 League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Fagiano Okayama		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.2	5	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.6
	1.89	3.15	4.20	Watch
	1.84	3.43	5.30
	2.04	3.14	4.09	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.90
	1.84	3.36	4.86	Watch
	1.82	3.30	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.2)	3.27 ↑ (2.97)	4.73 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
51%

Draw
29%

Tokyo Verdy
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fagiano Okayama's performance.

Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tokyo Verdy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moser L. (G) 6. Omori H. 48. Tatsuta Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 51. Shirai K. 80. Oberdan 41. Miyamoto E. 88. Yamane T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Esaka A. (C) 99. Lucao	1. Matheus (G) 6. Miyahara K. 4. Hayashi N. (C) 5. Inoue R. 22. Uchida Y. 28. Yamamoto J. 16. Hirakawa R. 18. Mizoguchi S. 71. Hirao H. 14. Fukuda Y. 9. Someno I.
Substitutes
79. Browne N. 22. Ichimi K. 33. Kamiya Yuta 9. Leo Gaucho 13. Matsuda S. (G) 44. Mori S. 26. Motoyama H. 66. Nishikawa J. 18. Tagami D.	40. Arai Y. 38. Kanda S. 25. Kumatoriya I. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 20. Meshino S. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 13. Yamada G.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Hiroshi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Inoue R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Yamamoto J. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
56', Mizoguchi S. 🟨,
60', Yamane T. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
61', Lucao ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
64', Omori H. 🟨,
65', Hirao H. ↓, Yamada G. ↑,
65', Fukuda Y. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
67', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
77', Shirai K. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
77', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
86', Miyahara K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
86', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1.

Okayama has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Okayama has had a series of away games.

Okayama could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Okayama: Ogura K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Morita K. (Broken collarbone) Tanabe S. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Okayama: Kimura T. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Okayama won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Okayama: 1.92% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League
15.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Schalke 04 - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
22.07.26	Werder Bremen - Fagiano Okayama	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Kharkiv - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	2:4 ✺
30.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
20.09.25	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	4:2
29.04.25	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:1
Japan J2 League
26.08.23	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	2:3
11.06.23	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
23.10.22	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	2:0
01.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
09.10.21	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	1:2

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