Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tokyo Verdy		Kashima Antlers

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.96	Watch
	4.10	3.20	1.93
	4.05	3	1.95	Watch
	4.41	3.27	2.05
	4.19	3.2	1.99	Watch
	4.3	3.05	2
	4.06	3.36	1.99	Watch
	4.1	3.15	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.9)	3.15 ↓ (3.43)	1.98 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
22.6%

Draw
29.9%

Kashima Antlers
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

27.6%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers Predictions

Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus (G) 15. Suzuki K. 4. Hayashi N. 5. Inoue R. 22. Uchida Y. 10. Morita K. (C) 16. Hirakawa R. 40. Arai Y. 7. Matsuhashi Y. 25. Kumatoriya I. 9. Someno I.	1. Hayakawa T. (G) 37. Hirose R. 55. Ueda N. 5. Sekigawa I. 7. Ogawa R. 27. Matsumura Y. 10. Shibasaki G. (C) 8. Matheus Bueno 17. Elber 9. Leo Ceara 40. Suzuki Y.
Substitutes
38. Kanda S. 30. Kawamura G. 36. Matsuda R. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 24. Nakayama S. 29. Sako M. 2. Shibato K. 27. Shirai R. 28. Yamamoto J.	77. Cavric A. 4. Chida K. 24. Hayashu H. 3. Kim Tae-Hyeon 6. Misao K. 35. Motosuna A. 23. Tsukui K. 21. Yamada T. (G) 30. Yoshida M.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.	Oniki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Ogawa R. 🟨,
17', Hirose R. 🟨,
18', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
36', Elber 🟨,
41', Morita K. ↓, Yamamoto J. ↑,
42', 0 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Elber (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kumatoriya I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
60', Someno I. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
72', Hirakawa R. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
73', Matsuhashi Y. ↓, Nakayama S. ↑,
73', Elber ↓, Cavric A. ↑,
73', Shibasaki G. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
83', Hirose R. ↓, Tsukui K. ↑,
83', Matsumura Y. ↓, Hayashu H. ↑,
88', Matheus Bueno ↓, Motosuna A. ↑,
88', Suzuki Y. ↓, Yoshida M. ↑,
90+5', Shirai R. ↓, Kawamura G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2.

Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kashima is the team to beat.

There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Tanabe S. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury) Yoshida T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Knee Injury) Higuchi Y. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kashima Antlers: 13.09% Verdy: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kashima Antlers	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12
19	Verdy	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2

Last Results with these Odds

Kashima Antlers - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 53.13%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Fagiano Okayama - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
14.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTLTL
- Kashima Antlers
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Atletico Suzuka	3:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Avispa Fukuoka	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Kashima Antlers - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:4 ✺
06.06.26	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.04.26	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1
07.03.26	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
30.11.25	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	0:1
22.02.25	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
25.08.24	Tokyo Verdy - Kashima Antlers	2:1
12.05.24	Kashima Antlers - Tokyo Verdy	3:3

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