Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Reims		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.5
	2.82	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.91	3.36	2.59
	2.84	3.33	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.6
	2.91	3.52	2.58	Watch
	2.82	3.25	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.65)	3.31 ↓ (3.64)	2.56 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reims
33.7%

Draw
28.9%

Lille
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

26.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

25.4%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reims's performance.

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reims than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reims that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	20.9%	51.2%

Reims - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Lille will win (votes: 22 - 51.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 36.3% – 66.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 72. Kone A. 2. Okumu J. 24. Agbadou E. (C) 18. Akieme S. 92. Kone A. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 15. Munetsi M. 7. Ito J. 22. Diakite O. 17. Nakamura K.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 2. Mandi A. 18. Diakite B. (C) 4. Alexsandro 31. Ismaily 10. Cabella R. 17. Mukau N. 8. Gomes A. 11. Sahraoui O. 27. Bayo M.
Substitutes
5. Adeline M. 27. Bojang A. 25. De Smet T. 67. Diakhon M. 71. Fofana Y. 14. Khadra R. 21. Kipre C. 20. Olliero A. (G) 55. Sangui N.	32. Bouaddi A. 9. David J. 5. Gudmundsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 24. Ilic A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 29. Mbappe E. 12. Meunier T. 36. Toure O.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kone A. 🟥,
44', Gomes A. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
45+30', 0 - 1, Diakite B. ⚽, Alexsandro (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bayo M. ↓, David J. ↑,
47', Atangana Edoa V. 🟨,
61', Kone A. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
61', Diakite O. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
68', Ismaily 🟨,
72', Mukau N. 🟨,
72', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Fofana Y. ↑,
73', Mukau N. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
73', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
75', Nakamura K. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
83', Ismaily ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
88', Cabella R. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
90+2', Fofana Y. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, David J. ⚽, Mbappe E. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 3.

Recent matches Reims is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lille is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reims could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Reims have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Teuma T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Lille: Andre B. (Yellow Cards) Bentaleb N. (Illness) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zedadka A. (Injury) Zhegrova E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Reims: Salama A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Reims won 9 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Vissel Kobe - Reims	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	Machida Zelvia - Reims	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Reims	3:0 ✺
24.07.24	Júbilo Iwata - Reims	1:1 ✺
18.07.24	Sochaux - Reims	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTW
- OSC Lille
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Fenerbahçe - Lille	1:1 ET ✺
06.08.24	Lille - Fenerbahçe	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Lille - Celta de Vigo	3:1 ✺
24.07.24	Wolfsburg - Lille	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Genk - Lille	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.03.24	Reims - Lille	0:1
26.09.23	Lille - Reims	1:2
06.05.23	Reims - Lille	1:0
02.01.23	Lille - Reims	1:1
20.04.22	Reims - Lille	2:1
22.09.21	Lille - Reims	2:1
17.01.21	Lille - Reims	2:1

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