Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Lille		Lens

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.45	Watch
	3.09	3.45	2.47
	2.82	3.37	2.49	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.38
	3.01	3.49	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.61)	3.39 ↑ (3.34)	2.47 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lille
33%

Draw
28.2%

Lens
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	37%	25.9%

Lille - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Lens will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 18.8% – 55.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lens (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Lens (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 20%). Lens (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. (C) 15. Perraud R. 6. Bentaleb N. 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.	40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
4. Alexsandro 21. Andre B. 16. Bodart A. (G) 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 8. Mbappe E. 28. Perrin G. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.	26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F. 18. Sylla F.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
45+5', Thomasson A. 🟨,
45+5', Ngoy N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Correia F. ⚽,
55', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
55', Celik N. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Fernandez-Pardo M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Thomasson A. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
71', Ozer B. 🟨,
73', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
73', Haraldsson H. ↓, Andre B. ↑,
78', Abdulhamid S. 🟨,
80', Mukau N. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
80', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Perrin G. ↑,
85', Thauvin F. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
85', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
90', Mbappe E. 🟨,
90+4', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.

In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lens is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Caillard M. (Elbow Injury) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Calf Injury) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lille won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.82% Lens: 1.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lille	6	4	1	1	9:4	5	13
10	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
22.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lille	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.03.26	Aston Villa - Lille	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lille - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLT
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
20.03.26	Lens - Angers	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lorient - Lens	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lens - Metz	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0
30.03.25	Lille - Lens	1:0
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2
29.03.24	Lille - Lens	2:1
08.10.23	Lens - Lille	1:1
04.03.23	Lens - Lille	1:1
09.10.22	Lille - Lens	1:0

Upcoming Matches