Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 23

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Rekord Bielsko-Biała		Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.4	5
	1.43	4.5	5.72	Watch
	1.46	4.4	5.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	4.43 ↓ (4.5)	5.25 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
62.5%

Draw
20.3%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

20.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

17%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rekord Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karkonosze Jelenia Góra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Wojciechowski Z. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Nowak T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, Niemienionek P. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 9).

Recent matches Rekord Bielsko-Biała is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rekord Bielsko-Biała is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rekord Bielsko-Biała won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rekord Bielsko-Biała won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.03.24	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Raków Częstochowa II - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pniówek Pawłowice	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Wieczysta Kraków - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL
- Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polish Division 3 - Group III
23.03.24	Kluczbork - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.24	Polkowice - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
02.09.23	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:4
10.06.22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	2:1
06.11.21	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:2

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