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Current Win Probability
Rekord Bielsko-Biała 42.9%
Draw 26.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
27.5%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
27.4%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rekord Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rekord Bielsko-Biała's performance.
Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Grudziądz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rekord Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Grudziądz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rekord Bielsko Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Kaczorowski W. (C) 8. Boczek T. 77. Ceglarz P. 28. Ciucka J. 17. Gibiec A. 19. Kasprzak K. 33. Mazurek D. 16. Pawlowski D. 6. Scislak D. 3. Sobocinski J. 21. Tekieli M.
1. Jerke M. (G) 33. Abramowicz D. (C) 9. Baldyga D. 14. Brzek B. 10. Cichon K. 20. Kolasa A. 3. Michalski S. 7. Olejarka D. 17. Siemaszko A. 19. Stec J. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
5. Broda M. 80. Kasprowicz G. 18. Kempny J. 91. Klichowicz M. 9. Potoma D. 10. Rys J. 67. Sapinski F. 71. Sobolewski S. (G) 11. Swiderski D.
16. Fietz K. 22. Jastrzembski D. 70. Nowacki F. 99. Pawlak J. (G) 29. Szafranek W. 93. Tsyupa I. 5. Wichtowski M. 11. Wilak F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Baldyga D. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Kasprzak K. ⚽,
42', Scislak D. 🟨,
45', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Siemaszko A. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
46', Scislak D. ↓, Potoma D. ↑,
65', Kolasa A. ↓, Nowacki F. ↑,
65', Ceglarz P. ↓, Klichowicz M. ↑,
65', Tekieli M. ↓, Kasprowicz G. ↑,
69', Olejarka D. ↓, Fietz K. ↑,
74', Tekieli M. ↓, Rys J. ↑,
74', Ciucka J. ↓, Swiderski D. ↑,
80', Baldyga D. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
80', Stec J. ↓, Wichtowski M. ↑,
81', Rys J. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Abramowicz D. ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.
Bielsko-Biała is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bielsko-Biała won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bielsko-Biała won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Ol. Grudziadz: 6.52%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Bielsko-Biala
10
5
1
4
15:11
4
16
10
Ol. Grudziadz
10
4
3
3
13:16
-3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.45%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
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Kaczorowski W. (C) 
Potoma D. 
Tsyupa I. 
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