The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Znicz Pruszków 43.9%
Draw 25.1%
Olimpia Grudziądz 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
27.7%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
27.6%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Znicz Pruszków's performance.
Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Grudziądz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Znicz Pruszków that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Grudziądz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Napieraj K. (G) 7. Barnowski D. 20. Borecki M. 3. Holuj F. 10. Jach J. (C) 2. Jelenski M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 13. Mazurek B. 14. Okhronchuk V. 11. Proczek T. 37. Zawistowski N.
1. Jerke M. (G) 33. Abramowicz D. 9. Baldyga D. 14. Brzek B. 44. Frelek D. 20. Kolasa A. 3. Michalski S. 7. Olejarka D. 17. Siemaszko A. 19. Stec J. 25. Zbiciak B.
Substitutes
9. Bartoszewicz A. 5. Broniewski M. . Cieloch C. . Drabik F. . Garbinski O. 1. Gzowski N. (G) 25. Kosmalski J. 53. Nadolski A. 35. Redlinski A.
10. Cichon K. 22. Jastrzembski D. 70. Nowacki F. 99. Pawlak J. (G) 29. Szafranek W. 93. Tsyupa I. 5. Wichtowski M. 11. Wilak F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Frelek D. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Baldyga D. 🟨,
52', Zbiciak B. 🟨,
54', Holuj F. 🟨,
61', Siemaszko A. ↓, Jastrzembski D. ↑,
65', Kazimierczak A. ↓, Bartoszewicz A. ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Holuj F. 🟥,
77', Mazurek B. ↓, Kosmalski J. ↑,
77', Zawistowski N. ↓, Nadolski A. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Stec J. ⚽,
85', Baldyga D. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
85', Kolasa A. ↓, Nowacki F. ↑,
90+1', Proczek T. ↓, Cieloch C. ↑,
90+1', Jelenski M. ↓, Redlinski A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2.
Znicz is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Znicz has had a series of home games.
Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Znicz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Pruszkow: 23.29% Ol. Grudziadz: 6.52%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Pruszkow
10
7
2
1
23:12
11
23
10
Ol. Grudziadz
10
4
3
3
13:16
-3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Znicz Pruszków - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 31.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 40.45%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Napieraj K. (G) 
Okhronchuk V. 
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