Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 24

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Evandro Almeida (Belem)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Remo		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.75	Watch
	2.5	2.85	2.87
	2.92	2.68	2.72
	3.03	2.81	2.84
	2.67	2.72	3.06	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.8
	2.88	2.93	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.39)	2.79 ↓ (2.94)	2.81 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Remo
33.5%

Draw
33.4%

Criciúma
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

31.9%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

32.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Remo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Remo's form might have worsened.

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Remo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Remo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Remo - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Criciúma (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Remo (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Remo (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Criciúma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 23. Nathan 4. Klaus 29. Reynaldo 16. Savio 10. Jaderson 34. Caio Vinicius 33. Diego Hernandez 8. Matheus Davo 26. Marrony 32. Pedro Rocha	1. Alisson (G) 15. Leo Mana 6. Marcinho 3. Rodrigo 4. Luciano Castan 88. Luiz Henrique 18. Leo Naldi 25. Guilherme Lobo 10. Jhonata Robert 9. Nicolas 77. Diego Goncalves
Substitutes
39. Eduardo Melo 25. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 35. Freitas 7. Giovanni Pavani 27. Kayky Almeida 79. Marcelinho 48. Nathan Camargo 11. Pedro Castro 22. Regis 21. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 17. Tassano C. 94. Ygor Vinhas (G)	22. Bernardes Lopes A. (G) 19. Borasi B. 7. Fellipe Mateus 20. Jean Carlos 21. Joao Carlos 13. Jonathan 68. Jota 50. Juninho 5. Matheus Trindade 99. Sassa 39. Thales 2. Yan Souto
Coaches
Toni Oliveira	Eduardo Baptista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Leo Naldi 🟨,
43', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
45+1', Leo Mana 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jhonata Robert ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
46', Leo Mana ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
46', Marrony ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
59', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
63', Matheus Davo ↓, Eduardo Melo ↑,
63', Diego Hernandez ↓, Regis ↑,
65', Diego Goncalves ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
73', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
81', Marcinho 🟨,
82', Nathan ↓, Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↑,
84', Nicolas ↓, Thales ↑,
87', Borasi B. 🟨,
87', Jaderson ↓, Giovanni Pavani ↑,
90+11', 0 - 1, Jean Carlos (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).

Remo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Criciúma is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Remo: Luan Martins (Inactive)

There will not play in Criciúma: Felipinho (Yellow Cards) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Kaua Moroso (Inactive)

There are questionable in Remo: Nathan Camargo (Inactive)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Jonathan (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Remo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Remo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie B
23.08.25	Coritiba - Remo	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Remo - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	América Mineiro - Remo	0:1 ✺
01.08.25	Remo - Ferroviária	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Goiás - Remo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTWLT
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
22.08.25	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Athletic Club - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
11.08.25	Criciúma - Athletico Paranaense	4:2 ✺
01.08.25	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	Criciúma - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
25.04.25	Criciúma - Remo	1:1
Copa do Brasil
11.03.25	Remo - Criciúma	1:2

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