Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18Date: 15 February 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal Fornelos (Resende)
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Resende |
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Salgueiros 08 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.25 |
2.88 |
2.18 |
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 |
3.42 |
2.59 |
2.35 |
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 |
3.44 |
2.75 |
2.28 |
 Watch |
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3 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
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3.38 |
2.77 |
2.25 |
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3.5 |
2.57 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.69) |
2.68 ↓
(2.94) |
2.31 ↓
(2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Resende
27.1% | Draw
33.8% | Salgueiros 08
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resende's form might have worsened.Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resende than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resende, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Resende - Salgueiros 08 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 4).In recent matches, Resende has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Salgueiros is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Salgueiros will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Resende won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Resende won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Salgueiros | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Salgueiros 08 - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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