The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Resistencia 22.1%
Draw 26.6%
12 de Junio 51.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.2%
27.7%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
27.5%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resistencia's form might have worsened.
12 de Junio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 12 de Junio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for 12 de Junio than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 12 de Junio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Resistencia - 12 de Junio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Fernandez Rosales D. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Torales J. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 3rd).
Resistencia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
12 de Junio has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Resistencia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Resistencia has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Resistencia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals (averaging 0.5:2.5 per game).
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