Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 30

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Resistencia		River Plate Asunción

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.38	3.55	2.42
	2.37	3.7	2.42
	2.70	3.68	2.31	Watch
	2.51	3.48	2.61
	2.16	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.07)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)	2.62 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
38.5%

Draw
26.6%

River Plate Asunción
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Resistencia's form might have worsened.

River Plate Asunción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Asunción's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Asunción, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Resistencia - River Plate Asunción Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 0, Medina M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Bareiro Munoz F. V. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

Resistencia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Resistencia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Resistencia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.09.25	Rubio Ñu - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.09.25	Resistencia - Pastoreo	1:5 ✺
12.09.25	Deportivo Santaní - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Resistencia - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW
- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Guaireña	2:4 ✺
Copa Paraguay
25.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.09.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - River Plate Asunción	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sol de América - River Plate Asunción	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
25.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	2:1 penalties
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
27.06.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	3:3

Resistencia - River Plate Asunción: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide