Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 29

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Rubio Ñu		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.92	4.05	2.98
	1.98	4.3	2.72
	2.16	3.37	3.16	Watch
	2.21	3.47	3.05
	2.47	3.16	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.69)	3.67 ↑ (3.55)	2.9 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubio Ñu
43%

Draw
25.2%

Resistencia
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.5%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

24.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rubio Ñu's form might have worsened.

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Resistencia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubio Ñu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Resistencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rubio Ñu - Resistencia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Resistencia (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Resistencia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Villagra C. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Ramos M. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Mereles D. ⚽,
35', 4 - 0, Gimenez Delgado J. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 4 - 1, Vera Encina R. F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: ) and 6).

Rubio Ñu is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa de Primera (Apertura )

Rubio Ñu is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Resistencia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Resistencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rubio Ñu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubio Ñu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubio Ñu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.09.25	Guaireña - Rubio Ñu	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:0 ✺
08.09.25	Independiente Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Rubio Ñu - Sol de América	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fernando de la Mora - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- Resistencia SC
Copa Paraguay
25.09.25	River Plate Asunción - Resistencia	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.09.25	Resistencia - Pastoreo	1:5 ✺
12.09.25	Deportivo Santaní - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Resistencia - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
20.06.25	Resistencia - Rubio Ñu	3:4
23.08.24	Rubio Ñu - Resistencia	3:1
20.05.24	Resistencia - Rubio Ñu	2:1
07.08.21	Rubio Ñu - Resistencia	1:1
10.11.19	Rubio Ñu - Resistencia	1:2

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