Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 5

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)


	Retrô Brasil		América RN

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.4	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.58	3.1	2.48	Watch
	2.61	3.42	2.4
	2.48	3.48	2.53
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.57	3.28	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.28)	3.25 ↑ (3.02)	2.45 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
35.4%

Draw
27.8%

América RN
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América RN's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América RN, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Retrô Brasil - América RN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 22. Bruno Marques 16. Danillo 3. Dankler 17. Diego Guerra 10. Fernandinho (C) 21. Guilherme 28. Gustavo 5. Kadi Silva 18. Lucas Sampaio 7. Luiz Henrique	1. Renan Braganca (G) 6. Antonio 15. Arua 18. Augusto Galvan 38. Cassiano 26. Charles 4. Guilherme Paraiba 17. Josiel 93. Judson 22. Lucas Rodrigues 2. Ricardo Luz
Substitutes
30. Cacau 2. David Junio 26. Gogo J. 23. Joabe 13. Joao Rafael 27. Leandro Kaua 9. Lira W. 6. Luiz Henrique 25. Murilo Cosmo 1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 29. Rivas K. 19. Sillas	10. Alisson Taddei 14. Allan 30. Carlos Coppetti 21. Elias 40. Evandro 20. Jadson 16. Joaozinho 45. Lucao (G) 11. Matheus Regis 7. Nycollas 23. Pedro Jorge 77. Wellington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Luiz Henrique ⚽,
31', Josiel ↓, Wellington ↑,
44', 1 - 1, Antonio ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Murilo Cosmo ↑,
46', Diego Guerra ↓, Cacau ↑,
46', Cassiano ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
46', Judson ↓, Alisson Taddei ↑,
54', Charles ↓, Evandro ↑,
62', Bruno Marques ↓, Lira W. ↑,
67', Fernandinho 🟨,
67', Alisson Taddei 🟨,
69', Cacau ↓, Sillas ↑,
72', Ricardo Luz 🟨,
73', Wellington 🟨,
73', Kadi Silva 🟨,
76', Evandro 🟥,
78', Danillo ↓, Gogo J. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Fernandinho ⚽,
90', Sillas 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

América RN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Retrô has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Retrô won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Retrô won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Decisão - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Lagarto - Retrô Brasil	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Retrô Brasil - Serra Branca	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.04.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTL
- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Laguna - América RN	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	América RN - ABC	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.04.26	América RN - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Central SC - América RN	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.04.26	América RN - ABC	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.08.24	Retrô Brasil - América RN	1:0 penalties
27.07.24	América RN - Retrô Brasil	1:1
Club Friendly
23.12.22	Retrô Brasil - América RN	0:1
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.22	Retrô Brasil - América RN	1:0
07.05.22	América RN - Retrô Brasil	0:0

Retrô Brasil - América RN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide