Match Info
Serie D - Round 2Date: 12 April 2026, SundayLocation: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)
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 |
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 |
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Retrô Brasil |
|
Serra Branca |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.94 |
3.12 |
3.98 |
|
 |
1.91 |
2.9 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.93 |
2.99 |
4.02 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.06 |
3.53 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 (1.94) |
3.02 ↑ (2.95) |
3.82 ↑ (3.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Retrô Brasil 46.6% | Draw 29.9% | Serra Branca 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Retrô Brasil - Serra Branca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Kadi Silva ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 1 - 1, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Marquinhos ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Retrô may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Retrô is considered a favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.Including home match between the teams, Retrô won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;