Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Revilla		Tropezón

	1	X	2
	3.84	2.07	2.95	Watch
	4.8	3.45	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (4.8)	2.76 ↓ (3.45)	2.31 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Revilla
22.5%

Draw
35.3%

Tropezón
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

26%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Revilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tropezón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tropezón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tropezón than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tropezón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Revilla - Tropezón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 3 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tropezón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tropezón is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Revilla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Revilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.10.25	Cartes - Revilla	0:5 ✺
18.10.25	Revilla - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:4 ✺
11.10.25	Revilla - Atlético Albericia	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Guarnizo - Revilla	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Bezana - Revilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLWTL
- CD Tropezón
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Tropezón - Leonesa	1:3 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
25.10.25	Tropezón - Guarnizo	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Colindres - Tropezón	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Tropezón - Selaya	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Laredo - Tropezón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
02.02.25	Tropezón - Revilla	0:0
22.09.24	Revilla - Tropezón	2:1
16.03.24	Revilla - Tropezón	2:2
29.10.23	Tropezón - Revilla	3:3
25.03.23	Revilla - Tropezón	2:0
27.11.22	Tropezón - Revilla	1:1
17.04.19	Tropezón - Revilla	4:0

Revilla - Tropezón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide