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Current Win Probability
Rhode Island 41%
Draw 28.2%
Charleston Battery 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
28.5%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
27.9%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.
Charleston Battery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charleston Battery might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleston Battery than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Rhode Island - Charleston Battery Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Koke Vegas (C) 15. Nodarse F. 24. Yao K. 32. Diop H. 3. Sanchez A. 12. Holstad C. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 17. Kwizera J. 10. Rodriguez A. 8. Leo Afonso 9. Williams J.
56. Zamudio L. (G) 91. Houssou N. 16. Smith G. 22. Akpunonu J. 3. Messer N. 5. Suber S. 8. Ycaza E. (C) 88. Pakhomov K. 29. Kelly J. 10. Kissiedou L. 90. Berry M.
Substitutes
7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 14. Dorsey L. 11. Fuson N. 21. Herivaux Z. 22. Scardina N. 5. Stoneman G.
1. Berner J. (G) 7. Blackstock L. 13. Cabrera A. 99. Foster M. 2. Held K. 24. Kuzemka D. (G) 42. Martinez D. 30. Swan C. 17. Wayne J.
Coaches
Smith K.
Pirmann B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Kissiedou L. ↓, Foster M. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Williams J. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Kwizera J. ⚽,
64', Suber S. ↓, Cabrera A. ↑,
64', Pakhomov K. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Williams J. ⚽, Koke Vegas (A),
70', Diop H. ↓, Stoneman G. ↑,
71', Messer N. ↓, Blackstock L. ↑,
71', Kelly J. ↓, Swan C. ↑,
74', Kwizera J. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
74', Bacharach Capdevila H. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
83', 4 - 0, Atkinson D. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Martinez D. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 3.
Recent performances by Rhode Island have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Charleston Battery's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rhode Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Charleston Battery has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
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Koke Vegas (C) 
Nodarse F. 
Yao K. 
Diop H. 
Sanchez A. 
Kwizera J. 
Rodriguez A. 
Leo Afonso 
Houssou N. 
Messer N. 
Pakhomov K. 
Atkinson D. 
Herivaux Z. 
Martinez D. 
Smith K. 
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