Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Riccardo Silva Stadium (Miami, FL)

Referee: Arroyo L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Miami		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.35	2.22
	3.06	3.58	2.25
	2.95	3.51	2.25	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.2
	2.91	3.4	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	3.42 ↓ (3.43)	2.25 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami
31.7%

Draw
27.1%

Rhode Island
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Miami - Rhode Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rodriguez F. (C) 4. Calfo A. 13. Knutson D. 22. Da Costa R. 8. Romero M. 12. Ndiaye B. 23. Musto T. 21. Milesi A. 7. Tunbridge M. 27. Ndongo M. 26. Rocha A.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 10. Rodriguez A. 12. Holstad C. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Leo Afonso 14. Dorsey L.
Substitutes
35. Bent B. 38. Garcia A. 3. Kilwien P. 10. Locadia J. 37. Mello D. 18. Reyes Soria R. 40. Simion M. (G) 5. Tori R. 6. Tulu	7. Atkinson D. 32. Diop H. 11. Fuson N. 13. Meyer W. (G) 20. Peters J. 19. Vang K. 25. Williams C.
Coaches
Maddoni G.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Rocha A. ⚽,
39', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 0, Ndongo M. ⚽,
57', Tunbridge M. ↓, Tori R. ↑,
57', Scardina N. ↓, Fuson N. ↑,
64', Dorsey L. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
64', Yao K. ↓, Diop H. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Atkinson D. ⚽,
68', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
72', Ndongo M. ↓, Locadia J. ↑,
73', Rocha A. ↓, Bent B. ↑,
76', Leo Afonso 🟨,
79', Tori R. 🟨,
80', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
83', Rodriguez A. ↓, Peters J. ↑,
83', Milesi A. 🟨,
89', Da Costa R. ↓, Tulu ↑,

Preview

Rhode Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami FC
USL Championship
25.03.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Miami	2:4 ✺
21.03.26	Loudoun United - Miami	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Louisville City - Miami	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sacramento Republic - Miami	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Birmingham Legion - Miami	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WTLWW
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
21.03.26	Louisville City - Rhode Island	4:2 ✺
US Open Cup
17.03.26	Rhode Island - Faialense	4:0 ✺
USL Championship
14.03.26	Rhode Island - Sporting Jacksonville	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	North Carolina - Rhode Island	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.09.25	Miami - Rhode Island	0:1
07.06.25	Rhode Island - Miami	0:1
26.10.24	Rhode Island - Miami	8:1
13.07.24	Miami - Rhode Island	2:3

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