Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Ribeirão		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.2	1.85
	4.05	3.51	1.8
	4.06	3.51	1.81
	4.22	3.3	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (3.33)	3.38 ↑ (2.95)	1.82 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribeirão
22.8%

Draw
27%

Montalegre
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

31.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

29.9%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribeirão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montalegre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montalegre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ribeirão - Montalegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ribeirão will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Montalegre will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Recent matches Ribeirão is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montalegre is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ribeirão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Montalegre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ribeirão won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.24	Brito - Ribeirão	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ribeirão - Portosantense	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Marítimo B - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Ribeirão - Camacha	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Ribeirão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LTWTL
- CDC Montalegre
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.03.24	Tirsense - Montalegre	3:0 ✺
24.02.24	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Montalegre - Brito	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Portosantense - Montalegre	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Montalegre - Marítimo B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
03.12.23	Montalegre - Ribeirão	0:0

Ribeirão - Montalegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide