Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ribeirão		Portosantense

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.6
	2.13	2.92	3.85
	2.01	2.88	3.98
	2.05	2.95	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.29)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	3.71 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribeirão
44.4%

Draw
31%

Portosantense
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribeirão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Portosantense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ribeirão than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ribeirão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portosantense than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portosantense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Ribeirão is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portosantense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ribeirão will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ribeirão won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ribeirão
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.02.24	Marítimo B - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
18.02.24	Ribeirão - Camacha	2:2 ✺
11.02.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Ribeirão	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Ribeirão - Mirandela	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Dumiense - Ribeirão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLLL
- CD Portosantense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.02.24	Portosantense - Limianos	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Tirsense - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Portosantense - Montalegre	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Portosantense - Brito	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Pevidem - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.11.23	Portosantense - Ribeirão	0:1

Ribeirão - Portosantense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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