The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Richmond Kickers 26.7%
Draw 27.1%
Union Omaha 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
26.4%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
25.8%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Union Omaha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fillion Y. (G) 26. Murana M. 4. Layton S. 2. Barnathan D. (C) 3. Anderson H. 10. Seufert N. 6. Sasankhah A. 18. Amer A. 19. Espinal D. 9. Kirkland J. 11. Pannholzer T.
99. Jensen C. (G) 19. Lawrence C. 5. Orson J. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 8. Gabriel Cabral 16. Wootton L. 15. Knapp B. (C) 11. Borczak D. 21. Gomez A. 9. Botello Faz P.
Substitutes
44. Gallegos A. 34. Howell B. 7. Johnson L. 70. Lucca Dourado 99. Moore D. 12. O'Malley O. 41. Richman A. 35. Sneddon J. (G) 13. Wintsch A. (G)
7. Billhardt A. 23. Boudadi Y. 17. Gutierrez D. 27. Jiba R. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 4. Owusu S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Espinal D. ⚽, Sasankhah A. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽, Knapp B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kallman B. ↓, Owusu S. ↑,
46', Wootton L. ↓, Billhardt A. ↑,
50', Espinal D. 🟨,
56', Gomez A. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
56', Amer A. ↓, O'Malley O. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Pannholzer T. ⚽,
63', Lawrence C. ↓, Boudadi Y. ↑,
70', Kirkland J. ↓, Lucca Dourado ↑,
70', Seufert N. ↓, Johnson L. ↑,
72', Borczak D. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
75', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,
79', Murana M. ↓, Moore D. ↑,
79', Pannholzer T. ↓, Howell B. ↑,
82', Fillion Y. 🟨,
88', Orson J. 🟨,
90+9', Orson J. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 2.
In recent matches, Richmond Kickers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Union Omaha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Richmond Kickers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Richmond Kickers has had a series of home games.
In this match, Union Omaha is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Union Omaha ✔
29
19
4
6
53:31
22
61
17
Richmond Kickers
29
6
5
18
30:60
-30
23
Last Results with these Odds
Union Omaha - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.18%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.