Match Info

USL League One

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		Chattanooga Red Wolves

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.71	4.09
	1.78	3.83	4.07	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.9
	1.72	3.58	4.17	Watch
	1.84	3.4	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3.54 ↑ (3.4)	3.96 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
51.3%

Draw
25.7%

Chattanooga Red Wolves
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chattanooga Red Wolves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chattanooga Red Wolves than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jensen C. (G) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. (C) 27. Jiba R. 16. Wootton L. 6. Guediri S. 20. Ors Navarro S. 17. Gutierrez D. 22. Tekiela K. 9. Botello Faz P.	12. Jerez R. (G) 35. Kelly-Rosales A. 22. Kinzner E. 33. Ayimbila J. 23. Lelin Y. 11. Ramos J. 21. Acosta M. 17. Tapia O. 10. Bentley M. 14. Hernandez P. (C) 7. Hernandez O.
Substitutes
11. Borczak D. 77. Gavilanes A. 21. Gomez A. 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 24. Nuhu R. (G) 5. Orson J.	40. Engmann C. 30. Lombardi A. 27. Maldonado J. 20. Mensah R. 9. Mercer G. 1. Smith J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Lelin Y. 🟨,
32', Tapia O. ↓, Maldonado J. ↑,
37', Ramos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Ors Navarro S. ⚽,
64', Bentley M. ↓, Mercer G. ↑,
64', Kelly-Rosales A. ↓, Engmann C. ↑,
67', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
67', Gutierrez D. ↓, Borczak D. ↑,
77', Hernandez P. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
77', Hernandez O. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
80', Tekiela K. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Gavilanes A. ⚽,
86', Wootton L. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
86', Botello Faz P. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 3.

Union Omaha is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chattanooga is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chattanooga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chattanooga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Union Omaha is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
7	Chattanooga Red Wolves	30	14	4	12	50:43	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL Cup
17.05.26	Union Omaha - Louisville City	1:5 ✺
USL League One
13.05.26	One Knoxville - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Union Omaha - Portland Hearts of Pine	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LWTWW
- Chattanooga Red Wolves
USL Cup
16.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion	1:2 penalties ✺
USL League One
09.05.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Sarasota Paradise	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Boise - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Fort Wayne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
27.09.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	0:3
09.08.25	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:2
27.07.24	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1
USL Cup
27.06.24	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	4:2
USL League One
05.06.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2:5
16.09.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha	2:3
19.08.23	Union Omaha - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1

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