Match Info

Date: 23 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rieti		Castelfidardo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.4	3.2	2.65
	2.48	3.25	2.5
	2.44	3.2	2.67
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.47	3.24	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.5)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rieti
37%

Draw
28.2%

Castelfidardo
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

21.4%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rieti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castelfidardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rieti - Castelfidardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A).

Recent matches Rieti is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castelfidardo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castelfidardo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rieti won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rieti
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.05.21	Porto SantElpidio - Rieti	1:3 ✺
18.04.21	Pineto - Rieti	2:0 ✺
14.04.21	Rieti - Roma City	3:3 ✺
11.04.21	Rieti - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
01.04.21	Cynthialbalonga - Rieti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLTWL
- Castelfidardo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
16.05.21	Castelfidardo - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
12.05.21	Vastese - Castelfidardo	1:2 ✺
05.05.21	Castelfidardo - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	3:2 ✺
21.04.21	Castelfidardo - Roma City	2:2 ✺
14.04.21	Tolentino - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
24.01.21	Castelfidardo - Rieti	1:1

Rieti - Castelfidardo

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Rieti - Castelfidardo Predictions

Preview

Form

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