The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tolentino 46.9%
Draw 30.3%
Castelfidardo 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
29.1%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
29.2%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tolentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Castelfidardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelfidardo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).
Tolentino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Castelfidardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tolentino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Tolentino will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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