Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Riga		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.42	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.42	4.7	6.9
	1.43	4.1	6.2
	1.45	4.51	6.46
	1.45	4.33	6.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	4.32 ↑ (3.97)	6.5 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
64.5%

Draw
21.3%

Lincoln Red Imps
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

19.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln Red Imps than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.4%	6.7%	8.9%

Riga - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Users Predictions: Riga will win (38 of 45 users predict this - 84.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.85% – 95.03%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Riga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lincoln Red Imps is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lincoln Red Imps could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Riga have a series of guest games.

In this match Riga is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Riga is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.21	Paola Hibernians - Riga	1:4 ET ✺
Latvian Cup
08.08.21	Tukums 2000 - Riga	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
05.08.21	Riga - Paola Hibernians	0:1 ✺
29.07.21	Shkendija Tetovo - Riga	0:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
25.07.21	Metta - Riga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa League
10.08.21	Slovan Bratislava - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
05.08.21	Lincoln Red Imps - Slovan Bratislava	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.21	CFR Cluj - Lincoln Red Imps	2:0 ✺
20.07.21	Lincoln Red Imps - CFR Cluj	1:2 ✺
13.07.21	Lincoln Red Imps - Fola Esch	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLLLW

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