Match Info

Virsliga - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	16:00	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	16:00	Sport 1
International	13:00	Sport 1 Baltic


	Riga		Super Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.12	8.50	12.00
	1.15	6.50	12.00	Watch
	1.14	9.56	16.80
	1.12	8.6	16.5	Watch
	1.10	9.45	16.00
	1.13	8.53	15.10	Watch
	1.10	8.40	15.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↑ (1.12)	8.51 ↑ (6.8)	14.77 ↑ (14.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
82.8%

Draw
10.9%

Super Nova
6.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.7%

13.2%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Super Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Riga - Super Nova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Super Nova (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Super Nova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 23. Tonisevs M. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 3. Abner 17. Salazar A. 6. Saco C. 5. Wassom K. 7. Aouani R. 8. Iago Siqueira 15. Robalo Pedro S. L. 10. Reginaldo Ramires	90. Veisbuks D. (G) 5. Cirulis J. 25. Oss M. (C) 16. Romanovs K. 3. Iida R. 15. Kirss R. 8. Patrikejevs I. 24. Sitjakovs R. 9. Bamba 10. Lizunovs V. 6. Emsis E.
Substitutes
19. Badamosi M. 22. Diop M. 13. Jurkovskis R. 28. Mandeke A. 29. Maurs-Boks E. 60. Maviram N. 21. Musah B. 12. Piric K. (G) 25. Taiwo A.	2. Augusts K. 29. Baghdasaryan A. 7. Glaudans A. 20. Ndiaye I. 27. Pathe N. 31. Petrovics T. (G) 22. Skadmanis K. 21. Tihonovics M. 18. Vasilevskis M.
Coaches
Gula A.	Rafalskis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kirss R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Abner ↓, Taiwo A. ↑,
46', Robalo Pedro S. L. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
48', Aouani R. 🟨,
49', Reginaldo Ramires 🟨,
53', Kirss R. 🟨,
55', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
59', Kirss R. ↓, Glaudans A. ↑,
59', Bamba ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
59', Reginaldo Ramires ↓, Badamosi M. ↑,
60', Tonisevs M. ↓, Jurkovskis R. ↑,
63', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Iago Siqueira ⚽, Saco C. (A),
71', Ndiaye I. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Badamosi M. ⚽, Aouani R. (A),
81', Romanovs K. ↓, Tihonovics M. ↑,
82', Emsis E. ↓, Pathe N. ↑,
87', Oss M. 🟨,
87', Cirulis J. 🟨,
88', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Skadmanis K. ↑,
89', Saco C. ↓, Musah B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 5.

Riga is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Super Nova has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, Riga enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Riga has recorded 16 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:9 (averaging 3.4:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Riga against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 16:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	34	25	7	2	95:33	62	82
6	Super Nova	34	11	5	18	32:50	-18	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Riga - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
10.10.26	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Jelgava - Riga	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Riga - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TWWWT
- Super Nova FC
Latvian Virsliga
15.10.26	RFS - Super Nova	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Super Nova - Grobiņa	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ogre United - Super Nova	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1 ✺
10.09.26	Super Nova - Tukums 2000	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1
24.05.26	Riga - Super Nova	3:0
14.04.26	Super Nova - Riga	1:4
30.08.25	Super Nova - Riga	2:6
22.06.25	Riga - Super Nova	2:0
01.05.25	Super Nova - Riga	1:5
06.03.25	Riga - Super Nova	2:0

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