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Riga vs Jelgava Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, July 03, 2026)

Match Info

Virsliga - Round 22

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Riga		Jelgava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.13	7.75	12.50
	1.14	6.75	12.00	Watch
	1.10	11.44	27.86
	1.15	7.64	14.65	Watch
	1.06	11.00	27.00
	1.12	9.07	15.10	Watch
	1.09	7.80	17.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.18)	8.78 ↑ (6.05)	18.02 ↑ (10.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
84.1%

Draw
10.7%

Jelgava
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.6%

14.9%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Jelgava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Riga will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6 - under (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 5. Wassom K. 34. Cernomordijs A. (C) 17. Salazar A. 40. Ankrah A. 22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 7. Aouani R. 10. Reginaldo Ramires	1. Dvorak A. (G) 19. Petersons A. (C) 13. Novikovs J. 27. Alekseiciks K. 4. Kangars A. 22. Pudil M. 18. Smaukstelis E. 29. Zaleiko G. 11. Hasek M. 8. Melkis R. 28. Deklavs A.
Substitutes
19. Badamosi M. 99. Caio Ferreira 4. Galo O. 70. Juan Christian 44. Kazainis M. (G) 21. Musah B. 33. Paulo Eduardo 23. Tonisevs M. 1. Zviedris K. (G)	30. Belanik S. (G) 23. Dreimanis A. 10. Holoubek D. 21. Kacanovs G. 16. Leitis T. (G) 17. Rataj T. 5. Smirnovs I.
Coaches
Gula A.	Basovs A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Aouani R. ⚽, Oulad M'Hand S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Iago Siqueira ↓, Galo O. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Reginaldo Ramires ⚽,
57', Aouani R. ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
57', Diop M. ↓, Caio Ferreira ↑,
62', Deklavs A. ↓, Dreimanis A. ↑,
62', Smaukstelis E. ↓, Kacanovs G. ↑,
68', Cernomordijs A. ↓, Tonisevs M. ↑,
68', Salazar A. ↓, Paulo Eduardo ↑,
74', Petersons A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Juan Christian ⚽, Reginaldo Ramires (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga won 4.

Riga has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jelgava is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Riga is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riga won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:17. (average 2.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Riga FC	28	20	6	2	82:28	54	66
7	Jelgava	29	8	7	14	32:48	-16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
29.06.26	Auda Riga - Riga	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Riga - Liepāja	4:0 ✺
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Ogre United - Riga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWWW
- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
29.06.26	Jelgava - Grobiņa	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Super Nova - Jelgava	1:5 ✺
21.06.26	Jelgava - Tukums 2000	4:1 ✺
17.06.26	Jelgava - Ogre United	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Auda Riga - Jelgava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
16.05.26	Riga - Jelgava	2:2
04.04.26	Jelgava - Riga	0:8
21.09.25	Jelgava - Riga	2:3
01.07.25	Riga - Jelgava	3:0
10.05.25	Riga - Jelgava	2:0
15.03.25	Jelgava - Riga	1:1
05.10.24	Jelgava - Riga	0:2

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