Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Riga		Kairat

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.50	3.90
	1.85	3.30	3.90
	1.83	3.65	4.20
	1.93	3.45	4.08
	1.91	3.52	4.01	Watch
	1.89	3.55	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.5 ↓ (3.52)	4.02 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
49.9%

Draw
26.8%

Kairat
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.9%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

26.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Kairat aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Riga - Kairat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Riga will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Riga is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Kairat have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Riga is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Kairat Almaty: 0.3% Riga FC: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
19.09.26	Jelgava - Riga	0:1 ✺
15.09.26	Super Nova - Riga	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Riga - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTTW
- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
17.09.26	Astana - Kairat	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	1:4 ✺
09.09.26	Kairat - Zhenis	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	0:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yelimay Semey - Kairat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWWW

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