Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 8

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Mežaparks Sports Village (Riga)


	Riga Mariners		Tukums 2000 2

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.4	4.5
	1.5	4.6	4.7
	1.5	4.49	5.01	Watch
	1.47	4.25	5.47
	1.5	4.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	4.47 ↓ (4.5)	4.88 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga Mariners
60.9%

Draw
20.4%

Tukums 2000 2
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tukums 2000 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Riga Mariners - Tukums 2000 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kurakins V. (C) 27. Anohins I. 6. Bokans E. 22. Caune M. 13. Fedosejevs N. 5. Girgens F. 9. Grazis A. 29. Lazarevs A. 8. Pavlovskis A. 21. Poluhovics A. 17. Sola R.	77. Kapustins V. (G) 16. Atligins I. 90. Bekima B. 20. Dzeguze R. 25. Joksts H. (C) 4. Kacanovs G. 15. Kirss R. 14. Putrans D. 3. Semesko M. 17. Sirbu D. 32. Uzis K.
Substitutes
16. Ambrusevic K. 31. Galajevs I. 18. Kostigovs V. 11. Parkhomenko M. 30. Prudchenko N. 1. Semetovs R. (G) 25. Sinelnikovs A. 3. Urujevs R. 10. Visnakovs E.	28. Francbergs J. 36. Kere M. 30. Kolesnikovics H. 31. Petrovskis A. 35. Romanovskis R. 34. Steponavicus R. 22. Zahars A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Fedosejevs N. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Grazis A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Pavlovskis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Semesko M. ↓, Kere M. ↑,
46', Kirss R. ↓, Zahars A. ↑,
52', Atligins I. 🟨,
61', Anohins I. ↓, Prudchenko N. ↑,
61', Pavlovskis A. ↓, Visnakovs E. ↑,
61', Grazis A. ↓, Kostigovs V. ↑,
65', 3 - 0, Caune M. ⚽,
72', Bokans E. ↓, Ambrusevic K. ↑,
76', Uzis K. 🟨,
78', Poluhovics A. ↓, Sinelnikovs A. ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Kostigovs V. ⚽,
82', Dzeguze R. ↓, Petrovskis A. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

Riga Mariners is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tukums 2000 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Riga Mariners may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Riga Mariners is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
03.05.25	Riga Mariners - JFK Ventspils	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Olaine - Riga Mariners	1:5 ✺
19.04.25	Riga Mariners - Leevon PPK	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Mārupe - Riga Mariners	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Riga Mariners - Skanstes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWW
- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
10.05.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Augšdaugavas	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Rēzekne - Tukums 2000 2	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Ogre United - Tukums 2000 2	4:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tukums 2000 2 - JFK Ventspils	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	Olaine - Tukums 2000 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLW

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