Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 14

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Riga Mariners		JFK Ventspils

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.80	6.00
	1.35	4.85	6.10
	1.23	5.66	7.96
	1.28	5.66	7.49	Watch
	1.22	5.15	8.45
	1.34	5.20	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↑ (1.28)	5.22 ↓ (5.63)	7.03 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga Mariners
69.8%

Draw
17.3%

JFK Ventspils
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

16.2%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

JFK Ventspils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Riga Mariners - JFK Ventspils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Bullat K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 1, Stuglis E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 11).

Recent performances by Riga Mariners have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

JFK Ventspils is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Riga Mariners is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Riga Mariners won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Riga Mariners won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	21	14	5	2	50:23	27	47
13	JFK Ventspils	21	3	6	12	21:41	-20	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
18.07.26	Leevon PPK - Riga Mariners	2:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.26	Riga Mariners - BFC Daugavpils	3:4 penalties ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
04.07.26	JDFS Alberts - Riga Mariners	0:4 ✺
27.06.26	Riga Mariners - Mārupe	2:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	Riga Mariners - JDFS Alberts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWW
- JFK Ventspils
Latvian 1 Liga
18.07.26	JFK Ventspils - JDFS Alberts	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Skanstes - JFK Ventspils	0:3 ✺
04.07.26	Rēzekne - JFK Ventspils	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Valmiera	0:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
20.06.26	JFK Ventspils - Leevon PPK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
21.03.26	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	0:1
13.09.25	JFK Ventspils - Riga Mariners	1:2
03.05.25	Riga Mariners - JFK Ventspils	1:2

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