Match Info

1. Liga - Round 23

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Latvia	18:00	Futbols TV


	Riga Mariners		Skanstes

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.50	6.25
	1.29	5.15	6.3
	1.28	5.51	6.28
	1.33	5.5	6.3	Watch
	1.27	5.45	6.2
	1.26	5.4	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	5.42 ↓ (5.5)	6.5 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga Mariners
69.6%

Draw
16.6%

Skanstes
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.7%

16.6%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

15.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Skanstes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riga Mariners than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skanstes than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Riga Mariners - Skanstes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Baltrusaitis D. ⚽, Pinkulis P. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Baltrusaitis D. ⚽, Lampty M. (A),
38', Lampty M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Grazis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 2, Owusu R. ⚽, Pavlovskis A. (A),
54', 3 - 2, Pavlovskis A. ⚽, Owusu R. (A),
57', 3 - 3, Livcans L. ⚽, Baltrusaitis D. (A),
82', 4 - 3, Pavlovskis A. ⚽, Grazis A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th and 8th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Riga Mariners holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Riga Mariners has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Riga Mariners against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Riga Mariners	24	16	5	3	60:31	29	53
9	Skanste	24	8	2	14	47:51	-4	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga Mariners
Latvian 1 Liga
10.10.26	Metta - Riga Mariners	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Valmiera - Riga Mariners	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Smiltene - Riga Mariners	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Riga Mariners - Rēzekne	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Riga Mariners - Rīgas FS 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWW
- Skanstes SK
Latvian 1 Liga
10.10.26	Skanstes - JDFS Alberts	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	JFK Ventspils - Skanstes	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Rīgas FS 2 - Skanstes	3:4 ✺
07.09.26	Riga 2 - Skanstes	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Skanstes - Tukums 2000 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
14.06.26	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	0:2
02.08.25	Skanstes - Riga Mariners	2:3
05.04.25	Riga Mariners - Skanstes	1:0

Riga Mariners - Skanstes