Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Mário Monteiro (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.67	2.96	2.54
				Watch
	2.63	3	2.52
	2.08	3.36	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	2.72 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
38.1%

Draw
28.7%

Água Santa
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.5%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco AC ES, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Rio Branco AC ES - Água Santa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 1, Junior Dinde ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Água Santa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rio Branco AC ES might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco AC ES won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Branco AC ES - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 42.93%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
25.06.25	Linhares - Rio Branco AC ES	0:4 ✺
18.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Nova Iguaçu - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
11.06.25	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTTW
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.25	Água Santa - Boavista	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Maricá - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Água Santa - Maricá	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Boavista - Água Santa	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Água Santa - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Água Santa - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2

Rio Branco AC ES - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide