Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Mário Monteiro (Cachoeiro de Itapemirim)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.26	3.05	3.05
	2.29	3.04	3.1
				Watch
	2.29	3.02	3.03
	2.26	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
40.1%

Draw
30%

Pouso Alegre
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.7%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rio Branco AC ES will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Diego Fernandes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', Riquelmy 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 0, Jaco ⚽, Marcos Junior (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Rio Branco AC ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rio Branco AC ES might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rio Branco AC ES won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
03.06.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Sport Capixaba	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
28.05.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
21.05.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLT
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Portuguesa - Pouso Alegre	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Maricá - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Boavista - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	Pouso Alegre - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0

Rio Branco AC ES - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide